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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+8.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+5.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+5.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.51+2.99vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49+2.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48+1.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-0.12vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-1.79vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-1.72vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.05vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.78vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.08-7.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.92vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.24-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.55University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.99Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.12Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.21Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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7.41Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.97Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| John Rolander | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% |
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Will Holz | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.