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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+8.85vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+8.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+6.40vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+5.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+2.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+4.10vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.48vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.53vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-0.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.46vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.09-4.18vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.84vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.08-6.78vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-3.85vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-5.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-6.73vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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10.21Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.4Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.04George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.82College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.15Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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10.07Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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10.27Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Will Holz | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Will La Dow | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.