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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+6.89vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+7.23vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+7.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+7.97vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+2.36vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.30vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+1.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.26+1.99vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-0.83vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.44vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-1.77vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.69vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.23vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.61-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.59-7.30vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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10.15Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.91Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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10.23Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.31Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.47Dartmouth College3.610.0%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Robby Gearon | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 17.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| Will La Dow | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| Will Holz | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.