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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+6.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.62vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.52+7.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+3.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+3.01vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+2.95vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.16vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-1.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.26-0.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-3.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-2.18vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-7.67vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.74-7.07vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.51-6.96vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.62Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.95George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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11.39Tufts University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.85Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.82Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.61University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Will La Dow | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.