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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.39vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+7.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.32vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+4.68vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.14vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09+1.17vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+3.20vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+1.65vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.01-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.85vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-1.07vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-4.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.17vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.74-5.62vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-5.38vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.64-2.68vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.97-4.92vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.49-8.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.17College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.93Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University3.510.0%1st Place
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13.32University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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12.08Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Will Holz | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Will La Dow | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Feeney | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 26.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.