← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.52+8.96vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.66vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston4.09+4.56vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+7.61vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.97+7.01vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.08+1.38vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.59+2.49vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.71+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.69vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.74-0.83vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.48-0.87vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University3.49-1.62vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.97vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.01vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University3.39-4.66vs Predicted
-
16Boston College4.01-8.28vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.38-6.40vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.49-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.96Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
-
10.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
7.56College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
11.61University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
-
12.01Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
7.38Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.49University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.89Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.17Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.13Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
-
10.38George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.34Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
-
7.72Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.6Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
-
9.75Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Holz | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 18.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| William Logue | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.