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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60+3.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.69+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.42+5.30vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.00+4.93vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.42+3.30vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.82-2.73vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.95-2.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.75vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.79-1.57vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.20-1.41vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27-8.48vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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3.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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9.93Columbia University-0.000.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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4.27Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Queen's University1.950.1%1st Place
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3.25U. S. Naval Academy3.380.2%1st Place
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8.43University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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9.59Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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3.52Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
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9.27Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potter Hodgson | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 22.6% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Pilling | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ford | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 18.9% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 24.3% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 22.5% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Alley | 17.5% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.