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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+5.96vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+7.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+2.18vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+4.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81+0.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.39vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.38vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-0.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.52vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.78vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.92-3.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-7.77vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.06vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.96Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.08Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.9Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.71University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.23Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 17.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Baird | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Stephen Long | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.