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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+8.79vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+7.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+6.32vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+3.83vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+4.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-0.84vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.49vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+0.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-0.16vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.84-3.84vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.92-3.24vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-7.82vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.14vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.79Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.83Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.57George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.16Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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10.64Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.84Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.76University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.62Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Stephen Long | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 15.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.