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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+8.66vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.78vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.84+4.91vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+4.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+3.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.23vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+0.94vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-0.29vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.92+1.86vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-4.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.39vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-2.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.86vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.17-4.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.60vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.35vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.79-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy3.630.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.03Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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10.57Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.98Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 17.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Stephen Long | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.