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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+8.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+7.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+6.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+3.89vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+2.75vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+5.60vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+3.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38+1.58vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.84-1.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.21vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-2.80vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-2.67vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.60vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.91vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.40-2.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-8.32vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.24-12.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.6Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.2Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.58Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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7.53College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.33Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.63University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Stephen Long | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 28.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.