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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+8.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+4.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.84+3.56vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+2.76vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.18vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.27vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.02vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-0.04vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.10vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-1.24vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-6.32vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.40-1.46vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-6.51vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.21vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.76Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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13.54University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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9.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.34Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% |
| Stephen Long | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 26.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.