← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.24+4.57vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.81+5.29vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.38+6.15vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.53+4.59vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.93+5.79vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.35+3.48vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.92+4.04vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.65vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.41+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.07vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.84-3.55vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.86vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.25-3.14vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.47-5.12vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.61vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.77-8.43vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.57Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.29Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
9.15Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.59Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.79Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
9.48Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
-
11.04University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
9.28George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
-
7.45College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.14U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.86Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
8.88Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
10.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.9% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Long | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.