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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+8.25vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.42+7.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.60vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+7.46vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+7.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+2.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+2.29vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.51vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.84-2.09vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-4.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.01vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-2.87vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.93-2.71vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-5.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.82vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-8.79vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.81-10.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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9.51George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.13Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.29Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.61Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 19.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.0% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.