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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+6.92vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+7.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+6.24vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+7.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.59vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+3.27vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47+1.19vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.33vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+1.89vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-2.70vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-3.84vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-3.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.92-3.40vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.41-6.41vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-8.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.63-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.98Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.27Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 18.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.