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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+8.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+7.55vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+8.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+5.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.02vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.11vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.55vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.92-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.92vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-5.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.19vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.84-8.39vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-7.37vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.01Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.98Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.56Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.17Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.83University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.61College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.21Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.8% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.