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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+10.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.85vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+2.47vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+5.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.09vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53+0.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+1.05vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-2.13vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-1.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.50vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.45vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-5.76vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-4.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.62vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.61University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.05Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.87Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.61Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.24George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.52Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.5% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 13.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.