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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+5.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+5.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+4.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.92+6.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+2.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.15vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+3.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38+0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.75vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.51vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-5.18vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-2.11vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-3.19vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.42-6.67vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.54vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.94-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.33Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.48Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University3.420.0%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.