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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.41+8.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+9.43vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.15vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.92+6.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+3.33vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+2.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.17vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+0.94vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-1.02vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.84-3.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.94-1.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.62vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-3.74vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.29-6.15vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-9.06vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.47-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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5.92Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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12.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.23University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.33Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.19Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.26Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 15.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.