Race 9A

women-atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kytalin Hendrickson 8.0% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 7.4% 6.8% 4.3% 4.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.4%
Julia Conneely 7.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.3% 8.8% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 7.0% 5.9% 6.6% 5.3% 6.8% 4.5% 2.4% 1.3%
Emily Allen 17.8% 14.1% 12.9% 12.2% 11.1% 8.5% 5.9% 5.5% 4.8% 2.9% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Rebecca Schill 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 8.6% 8.5% 7.4% 6.3% 5.5% 4.7% 3.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Lilly Saffer 2.3% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.5% 6.7% 5.7% 6.2% 8.0% 9.3% 11.9% 12.4% 14.2%
Avery Canavan 6.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.0% 7.5% 6.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 6.2% 5.4% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 5.6% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 6.0% 6.3% 8.3% 8.0% 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 6.2% 4.8% 4.7% 1.9%
Lizzie Cochran 5.3% 6.5% 5.5% 5.6% 6.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 7.2% 6.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.6% 5.9% 5.0% 3.2%
Grace Watlington 4.7% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.7% 5.2% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 7.8% 8.8% 7.5% 4.8%
Evelyn Hannah 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.3% 6.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 7.0% 5.2%
Tiare Sierra 10.9% 11.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 7.3% 7.8% 6.3% 5.8% 4.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Mary Castellini 6.3% 5.7% 6.5% 7.3% 5.7% 5.9% 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 8.1% 7.7% 7.0% 6.8% 5.7% 4.5% 1.9%
Katherine Simcoe 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 2.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.0% 4.6% 5.2% 7.5% 8.5% 10.4% 16.3% 26.1%
Audrey Commerford 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 5.1% 2.9%
Katherine Mason 2.7% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.4% 8.2% 12.1% 14.2% 14.2%
Simone Ford 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 11.2% 14.9% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.