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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.62vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+4.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+2.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+3.29vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-4.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-4.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.07vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.33vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.02Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.62Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.55SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% |
| Gregory Corsello | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 25.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.