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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+5.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.20vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+4.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+3.72vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.51vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.31+5.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72+1.53vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-4.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-1.38vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-5.60vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.46vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.82-4.65vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.69Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 28.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.