Race 4A

maisa-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Vann 21.6% 18.4% 18.2% 16.5% 11.5% 7.7% 4.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 11.2% 13.0% 14.7% 15.4% 14.6% 14.2% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Potter Hodgson 10.5% 10.1% 12.3% 12.5% 14.0% 15.6% 14.3% 6.0% 3.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Holtzworth 23.8% 21.6% 16.7% 13.9% 12.3% 7.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 19.8% 19.1% 17.0% 15.3% 10.9% 8.6% 5.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Handler 1.5% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9% 5.0% 5.4% 9.8% 13.8% 18.7% 22.8% 13.1% 2.7% 0.0%
Paul Throop 4.9% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 9.4% 15.1% 17.2% 15.5% 9.0% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 5.7% 6.7% 10.0% 17.3% 20.2% 17.7% 9.8% 1.5% 0.0%
William Pilling 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 7.8% 11.0% 13.0% 18.4% 18.1% 11.9% 6.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Nederlof 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.9% 2.8% 2.7% 4.4% 10.0% 16.8% 21.4% 26.2% 10.0% 0.0%
Kathryn Luly 1.9% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 5.7% 6.7% 10.0% 17.3% 20.2% 17.7% 9.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Louise Browning 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 6.3% 13.4% 72.4% 0.0%
William Ford 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% 7.4% 13.2% 19.6% 34.5% 13.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.