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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.99vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+8.94vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+3.62vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+0.96vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53-0.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-1.96vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.35vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-1.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-4.22vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.94Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.77SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 25.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.