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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.83vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+3.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+1.93vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.83vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.96vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-1.96vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.53vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.89vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.82-4.64vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.7SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.17Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.04George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.36Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 28.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.