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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.82vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.82+2.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.46vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.79vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-2.99vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-4.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-3.48vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.34vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.87Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Gregory Corsello | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.