← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.60+6.16vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.60vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.24+5.65vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.70+6.83vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.53+2.55vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.17vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College3.56+0.53vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.82+2.11vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.22vs Predicted
-
10Yale University4.24-4.90vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.37vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.72-1.45vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.71-6.17vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.62vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.31-2.90vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University3.41-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.16Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.65Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.83University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.55Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.53Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.11Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
10.63SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
10.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.83Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
12.1Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
8.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 25.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.