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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.20vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+4.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.24vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-0.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+1.18vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.89vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-0.05vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-5.49vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.38vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.28vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-9.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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5.14Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.62SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 5.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 15.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 27.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.