Race 12A

43rd-henry-handerson-jr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nick Sertl 6.7% 9.4% 7.3% 9.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 6.9% 6.2% 6.7% 5.5% 5.9% 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.4%
Nicholas Baird 16.2% 14.1% 12.0% 10.5% 8.5% 7.8% 7.1% 5.7% 4.7% 5.6% 3.0% 1.8% 1.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Ravi Parent 5.6% 4.8% 4.7% 7.3% 5.4% 6.4% 6.8% 6.3% 6.5% 8.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.2% 5.2% 4.3%
Liam McCarthy 4.8% 6.8% 5.3% 5.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.4% 8.5% 6.9% 6.8% 7.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6%
Kyle Comerford 2.9% 3.0% 2.5% 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 5.5% 5.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.5% 9.6% 13.9% 13.1%
Ty Ingram 8.6% 8.8% 9.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 8.0% 6.2% 7.5% 4.9% 6.1% 5.0% 4.2% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8%
Dana Rohde 7.1% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 6.4% 7.6% 5.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.1% 6.2% 4.4% 2.6%
Charles Lomax 6.4% 7.5% 6.1% 7.2% 6.1% 6.7% 6.7% 7.5% 6.1% 7.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.0% 5.2% 4.7% 2.6%
Jack Bitney 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 3.4% 6.1% 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 6.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.8% 9.3% 12.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 2.9% 4.0% 4.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.0% 6.1% 7.6% 7.7% 10.1% 9.5% 11.9% 13.7%
Christopher Williford 8.1% 6.4% 7.8% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.6% 4.5% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6%
Patrick Isherwood 3.7% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 4.1% 5.0% 4.5% 5.2% 5.6% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 7.7% 9.6% 11.4% 14.5%
Martim Anderson 7.8% 8.7% 9.7% 7.3% 8.6% 8.0% 7.6% 8.5% 7.3% 6.1% 5.2% 5.6% 3.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6%
Kai Friesecke 6.4% 5.4% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 7.1% 6.2% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5% 7.2% 5.7% 6.2% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1%
Matthew Kaplan 7.7% 5.9% 8.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.1% 8.0% 6.2% 7.7% 5.7% 7.4% 5.3% 6.7% 4.4% 3.6% 0.7%
Gregory Corsello 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 3.1% 4.7% 5.8% 9.0% 10.9% 14.5% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.