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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.34vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+6.31vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+2.03vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-4.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-2.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-6.60vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.72-4.35vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.64Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.03George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Gregory Corsello | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.