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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+2.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.24vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.00+6.13vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.95+1.21vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.82-1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.99+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+0.15vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-4.27vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.69-3.33vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.20-1.34vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo0.79-3.24vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University0.43-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.2%1st Place
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3.24U. S. Naval Academy3.380.2%1st Place
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10.13Columbia University-0.000.0%1st Place
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6.21Queen's University1.950.0%1st Place
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4.37Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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9.66Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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9.42Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 18.7% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 23.3% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 20.3% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ford | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 21.4% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Pilling | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 23.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 19.3% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.