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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+6.17vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+3.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.47vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+3.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.43vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.09vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.22vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.99George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.78SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
| Gregory Corsello | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.