Race 15A

43rd-henry-handerson-jr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Dana Rohde 5.9% 8.0% 7.6% 7.2% 8.0% 6.2% 7.6% 6.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4% 6.6% 5.5% 5.0% 3.6% 2.5%
Ty Ingram 9.8% 10.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.5% 5.8% 5.4% 4.5% 4.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
Jack Bitney 3.9% 3.3% 3.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.0% 6.5% 6.6% 9.7% 10.4% 10.1% 9.9%
Matthew Kaplan 6.6% 8.4% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 5.2% 7.9% 8.2% 5.4% 7.4% 7.0% 6.9% 5.8% 4.1% 2.7% 2.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 2.6% 3.4% 2.6% 4.1% 3.7% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 6.4% 5.0% 6.2% 8.9% 7.6% 10.5% 12.3% 13.3%
Martim Anderson 7.9% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 6.9% 9.1% 8.5% 7.6% 5.4% 5.4% 6.7% 5.4% 4.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1%
Christopher Williford 8.4% 6.0% 7.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 6.1% 7.2% 8.1% 6.7% 7.0% 5.2% 5.1% 3.6% 2.1%
Kai Friesecke 6.3% 7.7% 6.8% 7.4% 5.6% 7.0% 6.7% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 7.9% 6.4% 4.9% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5%
Kyle Comerford 3.1% 2.8% 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 5.8% 5.6% 7.9% 9.0% 10.5% 11.3% 13.6%
Nicholas Baird 14.3% 11.9% 12.8% 10.5% 11.5% 8.5% 8.4% 4.8% 6.1% 3.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 9.0% 7.6% 6.9% 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 6.9% 7.7% 4.5% 5.2% 3.9% 3.7% 0.8%
Ravi Parent 6.1% 5.6% 4.2% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 6.0% 7.0% 4.5% 6.5% 6.3% 6.6% 7.5% 7.4% 6.0% 5.1%
Liam McCarthy 4.9% 5.8% 7.3% 6.0% 5.5% 7.3% 6.2% 6.1% 8.4% 7.4% 7.3% 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% 5.5% 4.4%
Charles Lomax 6.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 5.1% 3.8% 2.8%
Patrick Isherwood 3.3% 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 4.7% 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 8.7% 11.0% 13.4% 12.4%
Gregory Corsello 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 2.7% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.3% 6.7% 8.3% 8.9% 15.3% 26.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.