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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.90vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+6.71vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.48vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+4.65vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.97vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-3.07vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-4.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-5.76vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.40vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-2.90vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.82-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.6SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.4% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% |
| Gregory Corsello | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 27.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.