← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.97+6.61vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.13+5.07vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.51vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.38vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.79+6.97vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.96vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.19+0.10vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.23-1.34vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.97-1.32vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.39+0.04vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.93-3.10vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College2.05-0.96vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.74-0.92vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.58-4.93vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.20-8.02vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.61Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.07Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.97Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.1Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
6.66Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.68Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.04Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.04SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
-
12.08University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
-
9.07George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.98Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Dane Byerly | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 23.3% |
| Mack Fox | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Conner Harding | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Christian Filter | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 23.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.