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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.97+5.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+3.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+3.08vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.05+6.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+3.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.51vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-1.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.79+0.87vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-2.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.13-5.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.74-2.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-9.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.11SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.12Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Christian Filter | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% |
| Conner Harding | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 23.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 24.6% |
| Mack Fox | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.