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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.51vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.97+4.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.10vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+1.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+3.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-1.33vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.33vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-0.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.93-3.11vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.79-0.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.27vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.74-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.2SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
| Trevor Long | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 23.8% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.4% |
| Mack Fox | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 14.6% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.