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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.15vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+4.02vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+3.97vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+6.07vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.93+1.12vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-1.04vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72-0.25vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.23-4.11vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-3.75vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.97-6.28vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-4.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.74-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.75George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 26.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
| Conner Harding | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Hunter | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.