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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.27+2.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.82+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.99+3.28vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-1.21vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.95-0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.99+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.79-0.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.69-4.26vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.20-2.21vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.00-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
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3.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.2%1st Place
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3.29U. S. Naval Academy3.380.2%1st Place
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4.32Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
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6.1Queen's University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
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9.31Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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9.79Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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10.15Columbia University-0.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 18.8% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 22.8% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 22.1% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 10.4% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| William Pilling | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 24.5% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| William Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 20.3% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.