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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+5.81vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+4.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+4.13vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23+0.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+0.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.97-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.74+0.15vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-5.99vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.13-6.89vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.63vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.81George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.11Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.37SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.19Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Byerly | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% |
| Conner Harding | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 27.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.