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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+4.81vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+3.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.97+2.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.51vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.21vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05+3.09vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-2.03vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-3.04vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72-2.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39-1.98vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.74-1.90vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.93-6.89vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.09SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Christian Filter | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Conner Harding | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 25.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.