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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+5.56vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+5.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.52vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.59vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05+5.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+0.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97-0.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.79+2.99vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.89vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.72-2.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-2.72vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.23-6.11vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.39-4.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.74-2.67vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.93-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Byerly | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Mack Fox | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Christian Filter | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 24.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 28.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.