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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+6.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+4.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+2.80vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+1.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.64vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+1.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+0.93vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-4.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.79-0.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59-4.93vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.66vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.74-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.9Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.1%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Mack Fox | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Conner Harding | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
| Christian Filter | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.7% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 15.6% |
| Peter Schneider | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.