Race 12B

43rd-henry-handerson-jr

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Dane Byerly 8.3% 10.7% 9.5% 8.7% 8.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.9% 7.0% 5.0% 5.9% 4.3% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.9%
Robby Gearon 6.9% 7.5% 7.4% 7.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 5.7% 7.3% 5.6% 6.9% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 2.2%
Casey Klingler 8.0% 7.3% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.9% 6.9% 7.1% 6.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.1% 2.2%
Luke Ingalls 5.1% 8.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.2% 7.4% 8.3% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 7.9% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 9.3% 8.0% 7.0% 6.7% 5.6% 7.2% 6.8% 5.8% 5.5% 2.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Christian Filter 6.1% 5.6% 7.9% 7.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 8.7% 6.3% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.9% 5.2% 4.1% 3.1%
Conner Harding 9.4% 8.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 6.8% 8.2% 6.3% 7.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.8% 4.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Duncan Williford 8.7% 9.2% 9.0% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 7.1% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 5.7% 5.1% 4.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.8%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 4.2% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 6.0% 5.1% 5.7% 6.4% 7.0% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 9.9% 8.3%
Mack Fox 7.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 9.2% 7.1% 7.4% 5.3% 5.6% 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0%
Miranda Bakos 5.7% 4.2% 5.2% 4.0% 5.6% 5.1% 4.9% 6.8% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 8.0% 8.0% 9.3% 8.8% 5.2%
Trevor Long 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 10.1% 7.5% 7.4% 6.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.2% 6.2% 4.1% 3.3% 2.2% 2.0% 0.8%
Zachary Bresnick 1.4% 2.5% 1.6% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9% 3.3% 2.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 5.9% 7.5% 12.2% 16.1% 23.3%
Ryan Hunter 5.2% 4.5% 4.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 7.1% 5.9%
Peter Schneider 2.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 7.1% 9.8% 17.1% 27.4%
Juan Lejarraga 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.6% 4.2% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 6.5% 7.5% 11.1% 10.5% 14.5% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.