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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+4.72vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+3.90vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.45vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+4.17vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.20+1.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.59+2.20vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.57vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-1.38vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.97-2.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.93-4.13vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-5.61vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.79-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.74-2.85vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.17George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.02Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.590.0%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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12.98SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Conner Harding | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Long | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Dane Byerly | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Christian Filter | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 21.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.