Race 15B

43rd-henry-handerson-jr

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Robby Gearon 6.1% 8.1% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.7% 6.1% 7.6% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 5.5% 5.4% 3.1% 2.1%
Dane Byerly 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 7.7% 6.6% 5.7% 6.2% 6.1% 4.7% 3.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9%
Duncan Williford 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 8.5% 8.1% 6.9% 8.2% 7.1% 7.3% 7.5% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 3.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Christian Filter 6.1% 8.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 8.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.4% 7.5% 6.8% 3.2% 1.4%
Casey Klingler 7.3% 7.6% 6.1% 7.7% 7.4% 8.5% 7.2% 7.8% 5.7% 7.8% 6.1% 6.7% 6.2% 3.4% 3.6% 0.9%
Mack Fox 7.0% 8.1% 10.3% 8.2% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 7.4% 6.0% 5.0% 6.1% 6.6% 4.5% 2.7% 3.4% 0.5%
Luke Ingalls 7.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.8% 7.2% 6.4% 7.1% 6.5% 5.8% 8.7% 7.7% 6.4% 5.4% 4.6% 1.3%
Florian Eenkema Van Dijk 3.8% 4.6% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 4.7% 5.7% 4.8% 7.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 9.7% 11.3% 9.2% 6.0%
Aidan Molesky 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 3.5% 2.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 11.7% 16.9% 34.3%
Trevor Long 10.0% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 8.5% 6.9% 6.7% 4.7% 3.1% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Nicholas Karnovsky 9.7% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 6.8% 8.3% 7.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 6.2% 5.6% 4.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Conner Harding 9.2% 8.7% 8.2% 10.0% 7.1% 8.4% 5.2% 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 5.8% 6.5% 4.9% 3.3% 1.6% 1.1%
Ryan Hunter 4.4% 3.8% 5.7% 5.4% 6.4% 4.9% 6.4% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 6.4% 4.4%
Peter Schneider 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.7% 2.4% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% 6.8% 9.1% 11.5% 17.1% 21.3%
Zachary Bresnick 2.3% 1.6% 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.0% 5.9% 9.0% 10.6% 18.5% 21.6%
Andrew Sheerin 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 7.8% 7.3% 5.6% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.