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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.91vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+6.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+4.19vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.26+5.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+1.05vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.99-0.72vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+1.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+1.81vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-1.38-5.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-5.44vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.57vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.71-4.81vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.76-1.71vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64-3.14vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College-0.13-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Wisconsin0.705.7%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.856.2%1st Place
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9.2North Carolina State University0.265.0%1st Place
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6.05Bowdoin College1.1310.6%1st Place
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7.2George Washington University0.937.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Rhode Island0.999.6%1st Place
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9.02Christopher Newport University0.654.6%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.7%1st Place
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4.37Jacksonville University-1.3817.9%1st Place
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5.56Boston University1.1411.8%1st Place
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11.43Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.5%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University0.715.2%1st Place
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12.29University of Vermont-0.761.4%1st Place
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11.86University of Michigan-0.641.5%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College-0.133.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% |
| Emily Allen | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Simone Ford | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 24.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 21.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.