← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University3.27+2.43vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.06vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.69+2.49vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.95+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.82-1.77vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.60-2.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester0.42+0.81vs Predicted
-
9University of Rochester0.42-0.19vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo0.79-1.89vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University-0.00-1.48vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.20-2.70vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-1.39-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.43Cornell University3.270.2%1st Place
-
3.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.2%1st Place
-
3.22U. S. Naval Academy3.380.2%1st Place
-
6.49University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.99Queen's University1.950.0%1st Place
-
4.23Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
-
4.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.81University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.81University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.11University of Buffalo0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.52Columbia University-0.000.0%1st Place
-
9.3Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
-
11.27Syracuse University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Alley | 19.4% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 23.8% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 20.8% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Pilling | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Throop | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Potter Hodgson | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.8% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Handler | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Ford | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 30.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 25.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Louise Browning | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 14.2% | 70.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.