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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+6.29vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.65+6.81vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+4.83vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+0.35vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.71+3.11vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.70+0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-2.58vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+2.53vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-3.67vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-5.04vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.26-2.88vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.13-2.14vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.64-1.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.76-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.855.8%1st Place
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8.81Christopher Newport University0.655.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.8%1st Place
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4.35Jacksonville University-1.3817.8%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University0.715.2%1st Place
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7.16George Washington University0.937.3%1st Place
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7.99University of Wisconsin0.705.4%1st Place
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5.42Boston University1.1411.9%1st Place
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11.53Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.5%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island0.998.9%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College1.1310.2%1st Place
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9.12North Carolina State University0.265.1%1st Place
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10.86Connecticut College-0.132.6%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan-0.641.9%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.102.9%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont-0.761.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Allen | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Simone Ford | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 21.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.