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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.15vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.10+0.91vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.48+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.85+0.25vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.88+1.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.98-0.08vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.55-0.14vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.38-0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-0.05-0.98vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.05-1.98vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.02-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.4%1st Place
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2.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.100.2%1st Place
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4.16Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Pennsylvania1.950.1%1st Place
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5.25Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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7.34Queen's University0.880.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.980.0%1st Place
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7.86Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.4Syracuse University0.380.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.85Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 38.8% | 28.8% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Butti | 23.8% | 24.7% | 19.8% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Johns | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Blake | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wood | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 22.1% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| John Koehler | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.