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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University0.43+2.06vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University0.43+1.06vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.16-0.64vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.65-2.15vs Predicted
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5Tulane University-1.61-0.31vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.48-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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3.06Texas A&M University0.430.1%1st Place
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2.36Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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1.85Tulane University1.650.5%1st Place
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4.69Tulane University-1.610.0%1st Place
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3.04Tulane University0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Lipari | 13.9% | 17.3% | 25.6% | 35.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 13.9% | 17.3% | 25.6% | 35.4% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 25.5% | 30.7% | 27.9% | 14.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 46.6% | 29.3% | 16.6% | 7.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tichenor | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 82.4% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 12.6% | 20.1% | 25.9% | 34.0% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.